Consciously Uncoupling: Why Your "Renewable" Electricity Is Still Priced in Gas
Why UK electricity is still often priced by gas, how marginal pricing works, and what businesses can do while market reform crawls along.
Why UK electricity is still often priced by gas, how marginal pricing works, and what businesses can do while market reform crawls along.
UK business energy prices in April 2026 are sitting at a crossroads. Spring data is painting a nuanced picture — and if you’re an SME with a contract coming…
UK gas is trading at approximately 75–85p/therm as we enter the second quarter of 2026. Electricity forward contracts for summer delivery are pricing in the…
UK wholesale gas opened 2026 in the 75–85p/therm range. By mid-March, it is trading in a similar corridor, having briefly touched 95p/therm in late January…
Current fixed all-inclusive electricity contracts for standard SME profiles in Q1 2026 are pricing at 18–22p/kWh. Gas is at 7–10p/kWh equivalent. These are…
European underground gas storage sites held approximately 42% fill at the end of February 2026, below the five-year average for that date and at the lower…
UK continental shelf gas production has fallen from a peak of approximately 108 billion cubic metres per year in 1999 to under 35 billion cubic metres in…
The UK currently imports approximately 50–55% of its gas. Domestic North Sea production, which supplied the majority of UK demand as recently as 2005, has…
UK wholesale gas averaged approximately 45p/therm in 2019. It averaged over 200p/therm across 2022. In January 2026, it is trading in the 75–90p/therm range…
In the autumn of 2022, energy brokers across the UK were handling a volume of renewals unlike anything in the market’s history. Businesses that had…
In January 2022, a UK business renewing a standard gas contract was paying in the region of 300–400p/therm — six to eight times the pre-crisis norm…
When a supplier quotes you 18p/kWh for electricity, approximately half of that figure has nothing to do with the wholesale cost of the electrons. The UK’s…
UK businesses renewing energy contracts in the past three years have experienced something unfamiliar: wholesale electricity prices that moved in ways that…
The sabotage of the Nord Stream pipelines in September 2022 was one of the most consequential events in European energy infrastructure history. Three of the…
Ukraine possesses the largest underground gas storage (UGS) system in Europe and the third largest in the world, with a total working gas capacity of…
This is the fourth article in Telnergy’s geopolitical energy series. The first article covered what a Hormuz closure would cost UK SMEs directly. This…
By the government’s own estimates, the EPL raised approximately £9 billion over its first two years. The investment narrative was less prominent, less…
Most UK business owners weren’t watching this story. It was covered as a geopolitical and shipping logistics issue. The energy price implication — tighter…
This isn’t a geopolitical thought experiment. It’s a live commercial risk that directly affects what you pay per unit of gas and electricity. Understanding…
The UK sits at a crossroads of European energy infrastructure. Subsea interconnector pipelines and electricity cables link Britain to Belgium, the…
Norway is the UK’s largest single source of imported gas. More than 20% of UK gas supply in recent years has arrived via subsea pipelines from Norwegian…
Before 2021, most UK businesses had never heard of liquefied natural gas. Since then, LNG has become one of the most consequential factors in what they pay…
The largest single failure was Bulb Energy, which served approximately 1.7 million customers and required a government-backed Special Administration regime…
Business owners on fixed contracts didn’t notice. Their unit rate was locked. But businesses on flexible contracts, pass-through pricing, or out-of-contract…
The short version: the UK gas market is physically connected to the European market via the Interconnector pipeline between Bacton in Norfolk and Zeebrugge…
This article sets out the framework we use — the specific data sources we watch, how we interpret them, and how they feed into the timing recommendation we…
For UK business owners, the TTF matters because the GB gas market — priced at the National Balancing Point (NBP) — is physically connected to the European…
Every business gas contract in the UK is priced — directly or indirectly — against the NBP. The unit rate on your contract reflects the NBP forward price at…
UK wholesale gas prices are primarily set at the National Balancing Point (NBP) — a virtual trading location where gas buyers and sellers transact contracts…